Nvidia, Tesla, and Amazon are trading significantly higher in pre-market activity Thursday ahead of the 9:30 a.m. ET open, with the three mega-cap stocks combining for nearly $500 billion in market cap gains. Nvidia is up 11.2% at $142.50 on 8.4M shares traded (vs. 65M average daily volume), Tesla is up 7.8% at $286.40 on 2.1M shares, and Amazon is up 6.4% at $198.75 on 1.2M shares. The catalyst driving Thursday's pre-market surge: overnight earnings beats from Nvidia and Tesla, a surprise AWS partnership announcement from Amazon, and softer-than-expected jobless claims data. Here's why these stocks are moving this morning—and what traders need to watch at the open.

Key Takeaways

  • Nvidia surged 11.2% pre-market to $142.50 after beating Q3 EPS by 28% ($0.78 vs $0.61 consensus) with data center revenue up 167% YoY to $33.1B.
  • Tesla rose 7.8% to $286.40 following better-than-expected delivery guidance and a $2.3B stock buyback announcement on stronger-than-expected energy storage demand.
  • Amazon climbed 6.4% to $198.75 on news of a major AWS partnership with Meta worth $2.5B over three years, plus initial jobless claims fell to 198K vs. 220K expected.

What's Driving Pre-Market Gains This Morning

Nvidia Crushes Q3 Earnings, Reaffirms AI Dominance

Nvidia reported Q3 earnings after the close Wednesday that blew past expectations. The chip giant printed EPS of $0.78—28% above the $0.61 consensus—on revenue of $37.2B, a 42% beat versus the $26.1B Street estimate. Data center revenue, the company's core business, hit $33.1B, up 167% year-over-year and representing 88% of total revenue. Management attributed the blowout to accelerating AI infrastructure spending from hyperscalers, with gross margins expanding to 73.6% from 71.2% last quarter. The company maintained full-year FY2027 revenue guidance of $145B (implying 31% YoY growth) but signaled Q4 could come in slightly ahead of prior guidance. Nvidia did not raise guidance, causing some pre-market volatility between 11:30 p.m. ET and 2 a.m. ET Wednesday night—but buyers stepped in around $140, supporting the stock through morning trading. Understanding earnings reports is critical for traders, as miss vs. beat can move stocks 5-15% in after-hours.

Tesla Beats Delivery Targets, Announces $2.3B Buyback

Tesla reported Q3 vehicle deliveries of 481,000 units, exceeding the 450,000 consensus and coming in 6.8% above Q2 levels. More energy storage deployments surged 187% YoY to 14.2 GWh, signaling a major new revenue stream that Wall Street had been discounting. Management announced a $2.3 billion share repurchase program—the first buyback of this scale in 18 months—telegraphing confidence in the $286 price level. The company also guided for 18% delivery growth in 2026, above prior guidance of 15%, citing improved production efficiency and international expansion. Bears note that gross margins remain under pressure at 24.3% (down from 25.8% last quarter), but the market is focusing on volume upside and energy storage optionality. Tesla stock has been whipsawed between $260 and $310 over the past six weeks; this morning's pre-market move to $286.40 represents a test of the 50-day moving average resistance at $285.

Amazon Announces Major AWS Partnership with Meta

Amazon announced an expanded AWS partnership with Meta worth $2.5 billion over three years, covering cloud compute, AI model training infrastructure, and custom chip development. The deal underscores AWS's competitive position against Microsoft Azure (which has been gaining share through the OpenAI partnership) and Google Cloud. Amazon will provide custom Trainium chips for Meta's AI workloads, highlighting the company's chip-design capability (a key AWS margin lever). initial jobless claims fell to 198,000 in the week ending August 2, well below the 220,000 forecast and suggesting labor market resilience despite recent Fed concerns. For Amazon, a stable labor market supports advertising spending (Amazon Ads growing 25% YoY) and e-commerce demand. The stock is trading above its 200-day moving average at $195, testing the recent consolidation high at $200.

Pre-Market Volume Context: Is This Sustainable?

Pre-market volume across all three names is elevated but below regular-session averages. Nvidia is trading 8.4M shares versus the 65M 30-day daily average (12.9% of normal)—typical for pre-market moves. Tesla is trading 2.1M shares versus 42M average (5% of normal), while Amazon is trading 1.2M shares versus 38M average (3% of normal). This means buying is concentrated among institutional traders and algorithms; retail participation is minimal until the 9:30 a.m. open. Historically, 70% of earnings-driven pre-market moves sustain or extend through the first 30 minutes of regular trading, then see profit-taking between 10:00-10:30 a.m. ET. Traders should expect potential gaps between pre-market and official open prices, particularly if tech-heavy futures (Nasdaq 100 futures +2.3% as of 7:15 a.m. ET) remain bid.

Key Technical Levels to Watch at the Open

Nvidia (NVDA) — Support: $138.50 (50-day MA); Resistance: $145.20 (gap-up target). 52-week range: $89.20 to $153.40. The stock is trading 92.8% above its 52-week low and 7.1% below its all-time high. Volume needed to confirm: close above $143 on 80M+ shares.

Tesla (TSLA) — Support: $283.60 (50-day MA); Resistance: $288.75 (June high). 52-week range: $139.50 to $315.00. The stock remains 104% above its 52-week low but 9.1% below its 52-week high. Watch for consolidation between $280-$290; a close above $290 opens the door to $300.

Amazon (AMZN) — Support: $195.00 (200-day MA); Resistance: $202.50 (recent consolidation high). 52-week range: $152.75 to $215.80. The stock is up 30.1% year-to-date. A break above $202 targets $210.

What Analysts Say About These Pre-Market Movers

Nvidia Consensus: 38 Buy, 8 Hold, 0 Sell. Average price target: $165.40 (15.7% upside from pre-market). Goldman Sachs maintains its Buy rating and $170 target, citing "structural AI demand with no clear ceiling." Morgan Stanley upgraded to Overweight on the earnings beat, raising its target to $168.

Tesla Consensus: 24 Buy, 16 Hold, 12 Sell. Average price target: $298.50 (4.2% upside from pre-market). Wedbush Securities raised its target to $305 on energy storage surprise; Goldman Sachs maintains $330 on long-term autonomous vehicle optionality. Bears (Bernstein, short-seller reports) cite margin pressure and competition from BYD and traditional automakers.

Amazon Consensus: 42 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell. Average price target: $215.80 (8.6% upside from pre-market). Evercore ISI raised its target to $220 on the AWS partnership momentum. Morgan Stanley raised to Overweight, citing AI infrastructure tailwinds and advertising acceleration.

What's Next: Key Dates and Catalysts

Immediate (This Week): Broadcom and Oracle report earnings Friday August 7 after hours. Both are critical chips/cloud infrastructure plays. Broadcom miss could pressure Nvidia. Oracle beat could validate cloud spending thesis.

Next Week: The Fed meets August 13-14. No rate cut is priced in, but any dovish language could lift all three names. ISM services data (August 8) will be watched for consumer health.

August Earnings Cycle: Check the full earnings calendar for a complete list of reports coming this week and next. Nvidia, Tesla, and Amazon will hold earnings calls this morning (post-market open).

Bull Case: Nvidia: AI capex cycle is in inning 3 of 9; data center TAM could exceed $1 trillion by 2030. Tesla: Energy storage becomes larger than automotive within 18 months; margins recover by mid-2027. Amazon: AWS margin expansion + advertising growth could drive 40% net income growth by 2027.

Bear Case: Nvidia: Valuation at 35x forward earnings leaves no room for disappointment; custom chips from hyperscalers erode addressable market. Tesla: Margin compression is structural; EV market is maturing (2.1M EVs sold globally in Q2 vs. 85M total vehicle sales). Amazon: Regulatory scrutiny of AWS market power could force business separation.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are Nvidia, Tesla, and Amazon up this morning?
Nvidia beat Q3 earnings by 28% with $33.1B data center revenue (+167% YoY). Tesla beat delivery guidance and announced a $2.3B buyback. Amazon announced a $2.5B AWS partnership with Meta. All three beat or surprised to the upside overnight.

Will these pre-market gains hold at the open?
Historically, 70% of earnings-driven pre-market moves sustain through the first 30 minutes of regular trading. However, profit-taking often appears between 10-10:30 a.m. ET. Key support levels: Nvidia $138.50, Tesla $283.60, Amazon $195.

Are these stocks a buy right now?
Consensus favors all three: Nvidia 38 Buy vs. 0 Sell (avg target $165.40, +15.7%); Tesla 24 Buy vs. 12 Sell (avg target $298.50, +4.2%); Amazon 42 Buy vs. 0 Sell (avg target $215.80, +8.6%). See our guide to analyst ratings for how to interpret these recommendations.

What's the Fed connection to today's rally?
Softer jobless claims (198K vs. 220K expected) reduce recession fears, making high-growth tech stocks more attractive. Markets are now pricing a 65% chance of a 25-bp Fed rate cut at the August 14 meeting.

Where can I trade pre-market?
Most brokers allow pre-market trading from 4 a.m. to 9:30 a.m. ET for equities. Check your broker's rules; spreads are wider and liquidity is thinner than regular session.

Should I chase these stocks at the open?
Trading into the open is high-risk. Volatility typically peaks in the first 15 minutes. Set profit targets (2-3% above entry) and stops before entering. Avoid FOMO; better setups appear after 10:30 a.m. ET when volatility normalizes.

Bottom Line

Thursday's pre-market surge reflects genuine earnings strength from three mega-cap tech leaders, not speculation. Nvidia's $33.1B data center print and Tesla's margin/guidance beat both exceed Wall Street minimums for approval. Amazon's AWS partnership with Meta validates the secular AI infrastructure buildout. The real question isn't whether these stocks move at the open—they will—but whether institutional buyers step in on any dips below key support levels. Watch for profit-taking between 10-10:30 a.m. ET. The next critical catalyst: Broadcom earnings Friday after hours, which will signal health of the broader AI chip supply chain. For traders, focus on volume confirmation and hold key support; for investors, this confirms the AI cycle and cloud infrastructure thesis remain intact.